Amazon is reportedly working on a new smartphone, reviving hopes and skepticism alike. The first Fire Phone, launched in 2014, flamed out quickly, largely due to its weak app selection. If history repeats, the biggest obstacle for the new model could be the same.

A New Fire Phone on the Horizon

The news that Amazon might be returning to the smartphone market surprised many people. Internally dubbed "Transformer," the new device is said to be under development for a 2026 release. That’s a bold move considering the crowded US smartphone market, dominated by Apple, Samsung, Google, Motorola, and OnePlus. Amazon faces fierce competition, but the landscape has shifted since 2014, when the original Fire Phone launched amid more fragmented platforms including Windows Phone and BlackBerry.

Even with fewer platforms now, Amazon must offer something truly compelling to carve out a space. The Fire Phone’s initial failure offers lessons. Most notably, its reliance on the Amazon AppStore instead of Google Play seriously limited its appeal.

The Amazon AppStore: A Weak Link

The Fire Phone’s Achilles heel was its app ecosystem. Without access to Google Play, users had to rely solely on Amazon’s AppStore, which remains a shadow of its competitor. Years after the original phone’s demise, the AppStore still struggles with a sparse and outdated app lineup.

Most finance, home control, and communication apps are either missing or haven’t been updated in years. Productivity and streaming apps fare better, thanks in large part to Microsoft and content providers keeping those categories alive.

But phones need more than that—users expect a broad, fresh, and reliable app selection.

Look, tablets and phones serve different roles. Tablets often get away with a limited app ecosystem because they’re used mainly for entertainment. Phones, though, are central to daily life—they need everything from messaging to banking, navigation to social media. The Fire Phone failed to deliver on that front and paid the price.

Can Amazon Avoid Past Mistakes?

Amazon’s new device development reportedly involves Panos Panay, a seasoned product leader known for his design sensibility and deep experience. His involvement is a hopeful sign. Panay is familiar with the challenges of building devices that resonate with users, having overseen products that balance hardware and software effectively.

If Amazon wants to succeed, it needs to include Google Play services this time. Forgoing it again would likely doom the phone to another niche failure. Google’s ecosystem is too entrenched, powering countless daily tasks for millions. Without it, the new Fire Phone risks repeating history.

Amazon’s AppStore alone won’t cut it. It’s still a wasteland for many core app categories. The company’s core strengths—content, cloud services, and smart home integration—can help, but they don’t replace the need for a full app ecosystem.

Facing a Crowded Market with High Stakes

The US smartphone market is more competitive than ever. Apple’s iPhone and Samsung’s Galaxy series dominate. Google’s Pixel and Motorola’s affordable models carve out niches. OnePlus appeals to enthusiasts. To stand out, Amazon's new phone needs to offer more than a competitive price or unique features; it must provide a seamless experience that users expect.

Amazon’s slippery history with hardware hasn’t been all bad. The company’s tablets and Echo devices have found solid footing by focusing on affordability and ecosystem integration. But smartphones are a different beast, demanding constant app updates, developer support, and cutting-edge features.

The timing of the launch is crucial. If the phone doesn't quickly gain traction or support Google Play, it risks being overshadowed. Even with internal buzz, Reuters reports the project might be scrapped before launch.

Amazon’s Fire Phone resurrection hinges on fixing what broke it before. Without embracing Google’s services and building a strong app ecosystem, the new model risks becoming another footnote in smartphone history.